FC St Pauli vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
STP
1 - 0
CEL
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
WOL
1 - 5
STP
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
STP
0 - 0
UDI
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
HOL
1 - 1
STP
29%
24%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
STP
2 - 2
ERZ
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
ING
2 - 0
COT
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SVS
0 - 2
ING
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ING
1 - 1
KOL
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
VFR
0 - 0
ING
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
ING
1 - 2
PAD
32%
26%
43%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |