FC St Pauli vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
STP
2 - 0
SSV
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
HAN
2 - 3
STP
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
STP
1 - 1
HOL
17%
22%
61%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
WUR
1 - 1
STP
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SGF
2 - 1
STP
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SVS
1 - 1
BOC
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 1
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SSV
0 - 2
BOC
31%
25%
43%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 1
DAR
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
M05
2 - 2
BOC
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |