St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
ABE
1 - 3
STM
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
STM
2 - 2
PAR
73%
16%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1907 |
HAM
1 - 1
STM
36%
23%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1907 |
STM
3 - 1
AIR
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1907 |
TLA
1 - 2
STM
75%
15%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1907 |
GRE
1 - 1
HOM
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1907 |
HOM
7 - 2
QUE
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1907 |
CLY
1 - 1
HOM
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1907 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
86%
9%
4%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |