St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
46.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1893 |
CLY
1 - 2
STM
39%
21%
40%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1893 |
STM
4 - 1
LEI
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1892 |
LEI
5 - 1
STM
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1892 |
STM
1 - 3
CEL
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1892 |
GLA
0 - 0
STM
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1892 |
CEL
5 - 0
HOM
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1892 |
CLY
2 - 3
HOM
30%
22%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1892 |
HOM
1 - 3
DUM
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1892 |
REN
4 - 1
HOM
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1892 |
HOM
4 - 0
STM
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |