St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1891 |
STM
2 - 4
DUM
37%
24%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1891 |
COW
4 - 2
STM
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1891 |
STM
3 - 2
HOM
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1891 |
STM
1 - 0
CEL
31%
24%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1891 |
STM
2 - 3
CAM
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1891 |
HOM
3 - 1
CEL
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1891 |
VOL
2 - 4
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 May. 1891 |
CAM
2 - 0
HOM
61%
21%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1891 |
ABE
1 - 0
HOM
39%
24%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1891 |
HOM
0 - 4
DUM
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |