St. Mirren vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 2
STM
14%
20%
66%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
STM
0 - 1
DUM
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
STM
3 - 1
LIV
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ICT
0 - 2
STM
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LOT
1 - 7
STM
20%
20%
60%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 5
QOS
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 2
DUM
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 1
GRE
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 4
DUN
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |