St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
CEL
1 - 0
STJ
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1993 |
HIB
0 - 0
STJ
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
STJ
0 - 1
KIL
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
DUN
0 - 1
STJ
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1993 |
STJ
1 - 3
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1993 |
KIL
0 - 0
HOM
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
CEL
0 - 0
HOM
56%
26%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1993 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
56%
26%
19%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
35%
31%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |