St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
58.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
STJ
0 - 2
RAI
48%
22%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
TLA
4 - 2
STJ
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
MHE
2 - 0
STJ
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
STJ
2 - 2
CLY
44%
23%
34%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1960 |
STJ
2 - 1
CEL
22%
23%
55%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1960 |
DUN
2 - 2
HOM
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
HOM
2 - 1
CEL
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
STM
2 - 0
HOM
24%
22%
54%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
TLA
0 - 3
HOM
45%
21%
34%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1960 |
HOM
1 - 0
RAI
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |