St. George.s Colts vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
STG
3 - 2
HOR
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
STG
1 - 2
PHC
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
STG
2 - 1
HOR
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
DEV
1 - 1
STG
57%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ROB
1 - 0
STG
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ROB
1 - 1
SOM
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 2
SOM
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 0
PHC
47%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
SOM
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 1
NOR
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |