St. George.s Colts vs PHC Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
39.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SOM
0 - 4
STG
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
STG
3 - 0
XRW
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 3
STG
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
STG
1 - 1
HAM
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
PAG
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PHC
5 - 1
YMS
68%
16%
16%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 2
PHC
38%
23%
40%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PHC
4 - 0
HOR
68%
16%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PHC
1 - 0
SOM
82%
11%
7%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
PHC
1 - 0
NOR
57%
19%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |