St. George.s Colts vs Devonshire Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
7º
3º
27
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
8º
|
97% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 10 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. George.s Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
PHC
0 - 2
STG
64%
17%
19%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
STG
1 - 2
WOL
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
PAG
48%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 1
STG
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
YMS
1 - 3
STG
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DEV
4 - 0
YMS
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 0
PHC
28%
21%
51%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 3
DEV
51%
20%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 1
HOR
37%
21%
41%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 3
DEV
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |