Leningradets Gatchina vs Sever Murmansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+128%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
5º
2º
22
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
22 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
21 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leningradets Gatchina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SVZ
5 - 3
SLG
27%
21%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SLG
3 - 2
TOS
14%
21%
64%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
SEV
3 - 0
SLG
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PSK
0 - 2
SLG
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KKO
0 - 2
SLG
35%
21%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SEV
4 - 0
KKO
88%
9%
4%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
SEV
3 - 0
SLG
80%
12%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 1
PSK
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SVZ
1 - 3
SEV
10%
15%
75%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
KKO
0 - 4
SEV
9%
14%
77%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |