Città di Castello vs Seravezza analysis


30	ELO	35
-2.7%	Tilt	-3.4%
20141º	General ELO ranking	4105º
541º	Country ELO ranking	135º
ELO win probability

41.5%

Città di Castello

22.5%

Draw

36%

Seravezza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

41.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%

22.5%

Draw

0-0

3.3%

1-1

9.5%

2-2

7%

3-3

2.3%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

22.5%

36%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

18º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

32

3º

18º

44

5º

15º

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

7º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	69	70	1º	100%
2º	60	61	2º	98.5%
3º	57	58	3º	64%
4º	55	58	4º	65.5%
5º	46	49	5º	83.5%
6º	46	46	6º	68%
8º	43	46	7º	35%
7º	44	45	8º	23.5%
10º	41	44	9º	28%
12º	40	43	10º	22.5%
9º	42	43	11º	21%
11º	41	41	12º	73%
13º	38	38	13º	57%
14º	37	37	14º	0%
15º	37	37	15º	24.5%
16º	35	36	16º	52.5%
17º	32	32	17º	26.5%
18º	32	32	18º	26.5%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	0%	4.5%
Mid-table	0%	95.5%
Relegation play-offs	4%	0%
Relegation	96%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Città di Castello

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
21 Dec. 2022	SSD 3 - 1 FLA 21% 20% 59%	28	39	11	0
17 Dec. 2022	ATT 2 - 2 SSD 48% 22% 31%	28	28	0	0
11 Dec. 2022	SSD 0 - 0 ORV 63% 19% 18%	28	24	4	0
04 Dec. 2022	ACS 1 - 1 SSD 54% 23% 23%	28	36	8	0
27 Nov. 2022	SSD 2 - 1 SPO 25% 22% 54%	26	36	10	+2

Matches

Seravezza

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
21 Dec. 2022	SER 1 - 1 ATT 64% 19% 18%	34	28	6	0
17 Dec. 2022	GHI 0 - 3 SER 48% 23% 29%	33	34	1	+1
11 Dec. 2022	SER 1 - 0 ACS 41% 25% 34%	31	36	5	+2
07 Dec. 2022	SER 2 - 3 ACP 33% 25% 42%	33	37	4	-2
04 Dec. 2022	FLA 2 - 1 SER 55% 23% 22%	33	38	5	0