Castel San Pietro Terme vs Dorando Pietri Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BFM
2 - 0
CSP
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
CSP
3 - 3
BOR
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SDA
0 - 0
CSP
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CSP
0 - 1
VIR
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
PDC
2 - 1
CSP
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dorando Pietri Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DPC
1 - 6
PIS
16%
25%
60%
|
24 | 65 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
DPC
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DPC
0 - 1
ACC
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 3
DPC
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |