Virtus Lanciano vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
PES
4 - 0
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
AVE
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 1
VIR
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
NOV
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAT
2 - 2
VIR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
TER
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TER
1 - 3
ASC
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
TER
2 - 2
LEO
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 1
TER
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |