Virtus Lanciano vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
VIR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 2
SPE
40%
29%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
PES
2 - 2
VIR
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
VIR
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 2
TRA
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
CTT
2 - 2
EMP
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
CTT
0 - 2
PAL
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 2
CTT
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CTT
5 - 1
VAR
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |