Virtus Lanciano vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
VIR
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 1
PAD
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 0
NOV
20%
27%
54%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 0
VIR
76%
18%
6%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 2
CRO
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 1
CTT
40%
25%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
ASC
4 - 1
CTT
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 0
EMP
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |