SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PAD
1 - 0
SSM
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SSM
1 - 0
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SSM
2 - 1
CAV
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
SSM
1 - 1
FOL
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
TER
1 - 0
SSM
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 3
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CTT
2 - 1
NOV
59%
25%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 0
TER
41%
27%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAD
38%
30%
32%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |