Cittadella Vis Modena vs Riccione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
67.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+663%
-72%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
11º
7º
22
4º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella Vis Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
IMO
2 - 2
CIT
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CIT
0 - 2
PIS
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PIA
4 - 1
CIT
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
TUT
1 - 0
CIT
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CIT
2 - 1
ASD
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Riccione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RIC
0 - 4
ASD
26%
26%
49%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
3 - 0
RIC
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
RIC
1 - 3
ZEN
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 0
RIC
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 1
SAM
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |