Cassino vs Afragolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
MON
3 - 0
SSC
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SSC
1 - 0
ULD
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SSC
0 - 3
SSC
29%
23%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
SSC
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SSC
1 - 1
TNF
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
TNF
0 - 0
AFR
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 1
HYR
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
4 - 0
AFR
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 2
SAS
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SSC
0 - 0
AFR
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |