Squires Gate vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Squires Gate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LIT
0 - 2
SQU
15%
18%
68%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SQU
3 - 3
IRL
62%
19%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SQU
1 - 2
NOR
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
SQU
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
VAU
2 - 2
SQU
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 2
BUR
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 0
PAD
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SKE
2 - 1
PAD
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 5
ASH
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
RUN
1 - 3
PAD
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |