Squires Gate vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
61.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Squires Gate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SQU
3 - 2
IOM
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SQU
1 - 2
BAR
23%
20%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
SQU
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
SQU
0 - 2
BUR
34%
21%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SQU
3 - 4
ALI
21%
19%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LBR
2 - 1
BCF
14%
23%
63%
|
74 | 34 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BCF
1 - 1
LTO
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
WYA
1 - 1
BCF
15%
23%
63%
|
72 | 21 | 51 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BCF
4 - 3
WES
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
BCF
20%
24%
57%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | +2 |