SpVgg Quierschied vs Diefflen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
76.9%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
11%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
19º
18º
55
3º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
51 | 51 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
47 | 47 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
42 | 42 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
30 | 30 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
20º
|
20 | 20 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Quierschied
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
AUE
3 - 0
SPV
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SPV
0 - 2
PIR
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DUD
3 - 2
SPV
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SPV
3 - 2
KAR
9%
15%
77%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
EIN
3 - 1
SPV
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Diefflen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 4
COS
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KOB
3 - 0
DIE
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 1
AWA
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 1
MEC
41%
23%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 2
DIE
28%
20%
52%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |