SpVgg Quierschied vs FC Bitburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
19º
18º
20
16º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
51 | 51 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
47 | 47 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
42 | 42 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
30 | 30 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
|
20º
|
20 | 20 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Quierschied
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ARL
1 - 1
SPV
85%
10%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 4
DIE
10%
13%
77%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
AUE
3 - 0
SPV
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SPV
0 - 2
PIR
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DUD
3 - 2
SPV
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC Bitburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BIT
1 - 4
COS
40%
21%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KOB
1 - 1
BIT
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BIT
1 - 0
AWA
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ENG
3 - 1
BIT
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BIT
1 - 1
MEC
12%
16%
73%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | +1 |