SpVgg Geratal vs FC Thuringen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Geratal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
WAC
2 - 0
SGE
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SGE
0 - 3
5%
18%
77%
|
28 | 83 | 55 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
SGE
20%
21%
58%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SGE
1 - 0
SON
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 1
SGE
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thuringen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
BWN
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WAC
1 - 0
FCT
36%
22%
43%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 0
OHR
88%
8%
4%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 0
SCH
77%
13%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SON
0 - 4
FCT
16%
18%
67%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |