SpVgg Geratal vs FC Thuringen analysis

SpVgg Geratal FC Thuringen
38 ELO 24
-6.8% Tilt -1.8%
41278º General ELO ranking 9739º
1833º Country ELO ranking 465º
ELO win probability
74.2%
SpVgg Geratal
14.9%
Draw
10.8%
FC Thuringen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
SpVgg Geratal
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.8%
Win probability
FC Thuringen
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SpVgg Geratal
-85%
+6%
FC Thuringen

ELO progression

SpVgg Geratal
FC Thuringen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SpVgg Geratal
SpVgg Geratal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2019
SVE
SV Ehrenhain
2 - 1
SpVgg Geratal
SGE
14%
19%
67%
39 23 16 0
02 Mar. 2019
SGE
SpVgg Geratal
0 - 0
Schott Jena
SCH
80%
13%
6%
39 24 15 0
24 Nov. 2018
SCW
SC 1903 Weimar
0 - 2
SpVgg Geratal
SGE
19%
21%
60%
40 24 16 -1
17 Nov. 2018
SGE
SpVgg Geratal
2 - 2
Meuselwitz II
MSW
72%
16%
12%
40 32 8 0
10 Nov. 2018
SVA
SV 09 Arnstadt
0 - 3
SpVgg Geratal
SGE
10%
16%
74%
40 21 19 0

Matches

FC Thuringen
FC Thuringen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2019
FSM
FSV Martinroda
3 - 1
FC Thuringen
FCT
77%
13%
10%
26 37 11 0
02 Mar. 2019
FCT
FC Thuringen
2 - 2
SV Ehrenhain
SVE
66%
17%
17%
25 22 3 +1
01 Dec. 2018
FCT
FC Thuringen
1 - 2
Schott Jena
SCH
67%
17%
16%
27 24 3 -2
24 Nov. 2018
FCA
FC An der Fahner Höhe
3 - 2
FC Thuringen
FCT
52%
21%
27%
28 30 2 -1
17 Nov. 2018
FCT
FC Thuringen
6 - 0
SC 1903 Weimar
SCW
55%
20%
25%
27 26 1 +1