SpVgg Geratal vs BW Neustadt / Orla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Geratal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SGE
2 - 4
FCT
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
WAC
2 - 0
SGE
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SGE
0 - 3
5%
18%
77%
|
28 | 83 | 55 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
SGE
20%
21%
58%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SGE
1 - 0
SON
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
BW Neustadt / Orla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BWN
1 - 1
SCH
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
BWN
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FUM
1 - 3
BWN
24%
20%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BWN
0 - 3
WAC
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BWN
4 - 0
SCH
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |