Sporting Toulon Var vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MON
5 - 0
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SPO
4 - 2
EPM
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 0
SPO
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAE
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
HYE
0 - 2
SPO
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 0
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
LUZ
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
EPM
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |