Sporting Toulon Var vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
8º
8º
42
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
AND
2 - 1
SPO
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 0
BOU
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
THO
3 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
TOU
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HYE
0 - 0
SPO
42%
28%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 0
BOU
78%
15%
6%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 1
GRA
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
GRA
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 0
OLY
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |