Sporting San Miguelito vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
5º
3º
18
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
SMI
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 2
IND
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 1
SMI
29%
30%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
SMI
20%
28%
52%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SMI
4 - 2
AMA
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UME
4 - 0
COS
27%
28%
46%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
TFC
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 0
UME
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UME
1 - 1
ARA
30%
28%
41%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
UME
60%
25%
14%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |