Sporting San Miguelito vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
5º
3º
19
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 0
SMI
30%
31%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TAU
2 - 1
SMI
43%
29%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SMI
4 - 0
CHI
80%
15%
6%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
AZU
0 - 0
SMI
34%
30%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
TAU
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
AMA
31%
29%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 1
COS
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 1
AMA
27%
29%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |