Sporting San Miguelito II vs Árabe Unido II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
3º
32
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
UME
0 - 0
SSM
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TFC
3 - 1
SSM
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SSM
3 - 0
TFC
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SSM
4 - 1
COL
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
SSM
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 3
CEN
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
COL
2 - 2
ARA
36%
23%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
SSM
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
UME
24%
28%
49%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
ARA
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |