Sporting Mêda vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Mêda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 0
SPO
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 4
MAR
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
3 - 1
SPO
90%
8%
2%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 3
AMA
6%
13%
81%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CES
1 - 0
SPO
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
16%
19%
66%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 0
PEN
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
UNM
7%
16%
77%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GON
4 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ANA
3 - 1
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |