Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
48%
21%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
SCP
7 - 2
ACA
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
VST
3 - 2
SCP
42%
21%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
SLB
10 - 2
LEX
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
SLB
5 - 1
CAR
79%
12%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
VST
1 - 2
SLB
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
BOA
2 - 2
SLB
35%
21%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |