Sporting Hortaleza vs EF Concepción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Hortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
SHO
72%
16%
13%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SHO
2 - 0
ARA
20%
21%
60%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 3
SHO
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SHO
6 - 1
ADE
42%
24%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SHO
1 - 1
NPI
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EFC
0 - 1
TOB
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SSR
0 - 0
EFC
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
EFC
1 - 2
CDV
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 0
EFC
58%
22%
20%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
EFC
1 - 5
TRC
17%
21%
63%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |