Real Sporting vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SPO
2 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CEL
1 - 1
SPO
33%
30%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
CAD
1 - 0
SPO
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
SPO
2 - 0
REC
82%
13%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
BUR
0 - 2
SPO
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAD
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CAD
2 - 0
MUR
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
CAD
1 - 0
SPO
29%
23%
48%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
CAD
3 - 2
CAS
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
ELC
3 - 0
CAD
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |