SC Covilha vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
60.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 0
SPC
52%
23%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
SPC
1 - 4
BEL
24%
24%
52%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
ACA
4 - 2
SPC
58%
21%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
FCP
4 - 0
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
SPC
2 - 0
SPB
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
61%
20%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
SPB
0 - 4
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1960 |
UJP
2 - 1
SLB
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
FAB
1 - 3
SLB
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |