SC Covilha vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 3
FCP
22%
24%
53%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
SPB
3 - 0
SPC
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
SPC
0 - 3
SCP
24%
24%
53%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPC
69%
18%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
SPC
3 - 1
LGC
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ACA
1 - 1
LEX
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
FCP
0 - 1
ACA
87%
9%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
ACA
2 - 0
SAL
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
SPB
0 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ACA
2 - 1
VIT
50%
23%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |