Sporting Braga vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
7 - 1
SPB
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
SPB
1 - 1
VST
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
SPB
0 - 2
SLB
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
FCP
3 - 2
SPB
81%
13%
7%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCB
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
9%
19%
72%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
69%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
MAR
4 - 0
FCB
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ACV
1 - 2
MAR
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 2
BMA
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |