Sporting Braga vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
SPB
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SPB
3 - 0
BOA
85%
12%
3%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SPB
1 - 1
PON
67%
20%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SPB
1 - 0
DEP
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
SPB
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 5
RIO
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 1
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 2
EST
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
MIR
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 2
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |