Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
2º
8º
3º
41
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
74 | 74 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 1
MFF
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GFC
0 - 1
SPB
14%
21%
65%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
1 - 0
SPB
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
SPB
16%
21%
63%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 2
SPB
6%
14%
80%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
RIO
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCP
3 - 1
CAS
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 2
CAS
6%
15%
78%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIZ
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAS
29%
29%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |