Sporting Braga II vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 4
BRA
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 0
BRA
86%
11%
4%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 0
ADO
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 1
BRA
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 1
BSC
81%
13%
7%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIA
66%
19%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -3 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
UNM
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |