Sporting Ben Arous vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
56.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
11º
8º
58
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ZAR
2 - 0
SPO
71%
21%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
JSO
27%
28%
46%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 2
FCH
23%
22%
54%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
MED
27%
28%
45%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JSO
2 - 2
EGS
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EGS
3 - 0
STA
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CSH
0 - 0
EGS
47%
29%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 0
EGS
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LPT
1 - 2
EGS
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |