Benfica Castelo Branco vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
MMO
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
IDA
0 - 0
BEN
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
CAL
54%
23%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 2
BEN
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VVR
0 - 3
VIT
12%
16%
72%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
OLE
33%
26%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
MOR
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SER
3 - 1
VIT
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
VIT
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |