Benfica Castelo Branco vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
BEN
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
BEN
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
0 - 0
MOR
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
22%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
SER
67%
21%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |