Split vs Lučko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
JUN
1 - 1
SPL
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SPL
3 - 4
SOL
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VUK
1 - 1
SPL
24%
26%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SPL
2 - 0
HDR
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SUH
0 - 1
SPL
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LUK
3 - 1
POM
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VIN
3 - 1
LUK
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LUK
0 - 1
MOS
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
RUD
1 - 3
LUK
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
JUN
1 - 0
LUK
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |