Split vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
HNK
2 - 3
SPL
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
SPL
5 - 2
BEL
18%
20%
62%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
JAD
2 - 3
SPL
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
SPL
0 - 2
MOS
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
POM
2 - 0
SPL
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
IST
0 - 0
HNK
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
HNK
0 - 1
HNS
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
HNK
2 - 3
SPL
70%
18%
13%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
DZG
4 - 0
HNK
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
HNK
3 - 0
OSI
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |