Spittal vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BLE
4 - 1
SPI
24%
26%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
FEL
1 - 0
SPI
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 2
SVV
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SKA
3 - 1
SPI
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
SPI
4 - 1
SAS
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 2
FEL
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SVV
4 - 1
MIC
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 1
SKA
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
MIC
2 - 2
WEL
46%
25%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 2
MIC
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |