SPAL vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
SPA
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CAG
5 - 1
SPA
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
MES
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
PRG
1 - 0
SPA
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 2
CAR
29%
30%
41%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
EMP
2 - 0
VIC
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
VIC
4 - 2
CAS
62%
22%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 2
PES
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 1
CTT
41%
25%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |