SPAL vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 1
SPA
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
SPE
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CTT
1 - 2
SPA
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 0
LAT
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 1
SPA
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
VIC
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
TER
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
TER
1 - 0
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FRO
1 - 1
TER
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
TER
3 - 0
ACD
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |